The war in Ukraine continues with no end in sight. In fact, with the winter weather easing, look for an increase in Russia’s aggressiveness. At some point will someone pointedly ask about the end game … in other words, what will it take to end this war in Ukraine?
Last week V.P. Kamala Harris said that Putin will be punished as a war-criminal, and this week our Attorney General, Merrick Garland, took a secret trip to Ukraine and repeated the same … “Putin is a war criminal, and will be punished.” Does this sound like a good common sense approach to end this conflict? Is stating that your adversary is going to be severely punished increase or decrease the chance for a peaceful settlement? … Duh! Between you and I, is Putin a war-criminal? Yes, he is. However, announcing your intent to severely punish Putin when the conflict ends will only prolong the conflict, and this is common sense. Because Biden et.al. use little common sense, I see no way that this Russia-Ukraine war can possibly end, as long as J.B remains in the Oval Office.
However, there is another common sense reason that this war cannot possibly end as long as Biden remains at the helm. Russia, with a GNP similar to Italy, is financing this war by selling oil and gas. The brilliant move by Biden, et.al. to drastically decrease oil/gas production by the U.S, only serves to keep the world market price for gas/oil high. This is because of the basic economic principle of supply/demand. In other words, as any high school economic student understands, limiting the supply of something only serves to increase the price of that thing. Thus by limiting U.S. production (decreased world supply) Russia can maintain its high oil price as world demand remains high, and thus Russia can continue to comfortably finance its aggression in Ukraine.
Recently Donald Trump gave a good speech last week at CPAC. One of the things he said was that after he was elected, he would quickly end the war in Ukraine. He didn’t mention how he was going to accomplish this, however I can safely say that it wouldn’t be by calling for the punishment of Putin as a war-criminal. From my perspective the only way to end this war, is by immediately increasing the production of oil/gas by the U.S. This, my friends, is common sense, and this is what Trump will do on his first day in office. Amen to that!
3/8/23
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